Margin of Error Calculator – Free Statistical Tool for Surveys

Type a sample size, pick a confidence level, and the calculator instantly shows your margin of error. A 95 % level with n = 400 returns ±4.9 %—the maximum error most national polls accept (AAPOR, 2021). Use the other mode to see how large a sample you need to hit any target MOE.

Margin of Error Calculator

Calculate margin of error or required sample size for statistical studies

Choose whether to calculate margin of error or required sample size

Select the type of statistical parameter you're estimating

Higher confidence levels result in larger margins of error

Number of observations in your sample (minimum 2)

Observed proportion as decimal (0-1). Use 0.5 for maximum margin of error

Your sample estimate to display confidence interval (Optional)

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How to use the tool

  • Select Calculate Margin of Error or Calculate Required Sample Size.
  • Choose the scenario: Population Proportion, Mean (σ known), or Mean (σ unknown).
  • Enter your data:
    • Example 1 (proportion): n = 250, p̂ = 0.38, confidence = 90 %.
    • Example 2 (mean): n = 75, σ = 6.2, confidence = 99 %.
  • Tick “Finite Population Correction” and add N if your sample is >5 % of the population (Cochran, 1977).
  • Press Calculate; the result panel shows MOE, standard error, critical value and, if you supplied a point estimate, the full confidence interval.

Example calculations

  • Example 1 output: MOE ≈ ±5.3 %; 90 % confidence interval for 0.38 is 0.327–0.433.
  • Example 2 output: MOE ≈ ±1.49 units; 99 % interval for 47.5 is 46.01–48.99.

Quick-Facts

  • Z-score for 95 % confidence: 1.96 (ISO 3534-1:2006).
  • Maximum conservative MOE for a proportion occurs at p̂ = 0.5 (Agresti, 2018).
  • Finite Population Correction applies when n/N > 0.05 (Cochran, 1977).
  • Sample size doubles when you halve MOE, all else equal (Fowler, 2014).

FAQ

What is margin of error?

Margin of error is the largest expected difference between a sample estimate and the true population value at a chosen confidence level (ISO 3534-1:2006).

How does the calculator find MOE for proportions?

It multiplies the standard error $$\sqrt{p(1-p)/n}$$ by the relevant z-score, then applies a finite-population factor when requested (Agresti, 2018).

When should I use the t-distribution?

Use t instead of z when estimating a mean with an unknown σ and n < 30; critical values widen to reflect extra uncertainty (Sheskin, 2020).

Why does p̂ = 0.5 give the largest required sample?

The product p(1 − p) peaks at 0.25 when p = 0.5, maximizing variance and therefore the sample size formula denominator (Agresti, 2018).

How large should my survey be for ±3 % at 95 %?

For p̂ = 0.5, the tool returns n ≈ 1 067, matching AAPOR guidelines for national polling (AAPOR, 2021).

Can I reuse a sample size when confidence changes?

No. Increasing confidence from 90 % to 99 % requires roughly 2× the respondents because the z-score rises from 1.64 to 2.58 (ISO 3534-1:2006).

Does the calculator support stratified samples?

It handles overall MOE only. For strata combine weighted variances or run the tool separately per stratum (Lohr, 2019).

Is the tool free?

Yes—no account, ads, or download needed. “Open, transparent calculators improve statistical literacy” (UN Stats Div., 2020).

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